We Followed 20,379 Failed Chicago Food Inspections to Each License’s Next Recorded Visit. 84.6 Percent Ended in Pass or Pass w/ Conditions.

Every license-bearing failed food inspection 2019-2024, followed to the same license's next recorded visit: 84.6% ended in a pass, 12.3% failed again, and among fails that later reached a pass the median wait was 7 days. The fast clock in Chicago enforcement - set against the building-violation ledger's slow one.

A failed food inspection sounds like the beginning of a long story. In the city’s own inspection file, what follows is usually short. We took every failed food inspection in Chicago from 2019 through 2024 that carries a usable license number — 20,379 of them, at restaurants, groceries, schools, bakeries, daycares — and followed each license number forward to its next recorded inspection. 84.6 percent of the time, that next visit ended in a Pass or Pass w/ Conditions — grouped as a pass throughout this piece. Among the 20,093 fails whose license later reached a pass, the median wait was 7 days — and 90.7 percent of all 20,379 fails reached a pass within 30 days. Among the city processes we have timed on this site, this is the fast one.

What the next visit found

After the failed inspection: what the next visit found Each 2019–24 failed inspection, classified by the same license’s next recorded inspection · 20,379 fails The next check is a pass17,240 of 20,379 failed inspections 2019-2024: Pass or Pass with Conditions on the license’s next recorded inspection84.6% · 17,240It fails again2,516 of 20,379 failed inspections 2019-2024: Fail on the next recorded inspection12.3% · 2,516Recorded out of business294 of 20,379 failed inspections 2019-2024: Out of Business or Business Not Located on the next recorded inspection1.4% · 294No Entry or Not Ready264 of 20,379 failed inspections 2019-2024: No Entry or Not Ready on the next recorded inspection1.3% · 264No later inspection on file65 of 20,379 failed inspections 2019-2024: no later inspection of that license number appears in the file0.3% · 65

The next recorded inspection was another Fail 12.3 percent of the time — roughly one fail in eight — and those licenses went around the loop once more. Only 294 fails (1.4 percent) were followed by a result of Out of Business or Business Not Located, and just 65 of 20,379 licenses simply never appear again in the file. That last number carries the join’s central caveat: we follow license numbers, not restaurants. A business that closes and reopens under new ownership gets a new license, so continuity beyond the license is invisible here — which is also why this page names no establishments. What the file supports is the cycle itself — and for the overwhelming majority of these license records, the next recorded visit is a pass.

Seven days, most of the time

The road back is usually a week long Days from the fail to the first later Pass or Pass w/ Conditions · 20,093 fails that reached one 10,677 of the 20,093 fails that reached a later pass did so in 0-7 days10,6770–7 days6,102 of the 20,093 fails that reached a later pass did so in 8-146,1028–141,707 of the 20,093 fails that reached a later pass did so in 15-301,70715–30930 of the 20,093 fails that reached a later pass did so in 31-9093031–90542 of the 20,093 fails that reached a later pass did so in 91-36554291–365135 of the 20,093 fails that reached a later pass did so in over a year135over a year

The file records re-inspection as its own category — Canvass Re-Inspection, Complaint Re-Inspection, License Re-Inspection — and whatever the intended cadence, the recorded timing is fast: 10,677 of the 20,093 fails that reached a later pass did so within a week, and three-quarters within 11 days. The long tail is small but real: 542 took three months to a year, and 135 took longer than a year. Set this clock next to the one in our building-violation ledger, where less than half of the violations written in 2019 are marked complied more than six years later, and the contrast is the point: in one file, most failed checks are followed by a recorded pass within weeks; in the other, most 2019 violations still lack a recorded resolution. Different departments, different stakes, different laws — the files do not say why — but the two clocks read very differently.

Six cohorts, one rhythm

The pattern barely moves year to year. Across the six annual cohorts, the share of fails whose next inspection was a pass stayed between 82.9 and 85.9 percent — through the pandemic years and after. Restaurants specifically, 13,712 of the 20,379 classified fails, ran slightly better than the mix as a whole: 86.5 percent of their fails were followed by a pass. Whatever else changed in Chicago’s food economy since 2019 — and our storefront-turnover analysis found plenty — the share of fails followed by a recorded pass has barely moved.

The repeat tail

Passing the next inspection does not mean staying passed. Counting every license-bearing fail from January 2019 through the August 4, 2026 pull, 12,754 distinct license numbers failed at least once; 3,079 failed three or more times and 1,598 failed four or more. The most-failed single license failed 20 times in seven and a half years. The cycle, in other words, is quick but not always final — a slice of the city’s food licenses runs the fail-fix-fail circuit again and again in the record.

How we counted

  • Source: City of Chicago Food Inspections (4ijn-s7e5), pulled August 4, 2026, the day the file was last updated. All inspections since January 1, 2019 carrying a license number and a result; rows with the placeholder license number 0 — 97 fails spread across unrelated businesses — are excluded.
  • The join: each Fail from 2019 through 2024 is classified by the same license number’s next recorded inspection of any type. Fails from 2025 and 2026 are excluded from outcome shares so every cohort has had at least 18 months of follow-up time.
  • Days to pass: days from the fail to the first later Pass or Pass w/ Conditions for that license, whatever came between; 20,093 of the 20,379 fails reached one. Median 7 days, 75th percentile 11, 90th percentile 24.
  • The key caveat: the license number is the unit, not the establishment. Ownership changes mint new licenses, so a license that disappears can mean a closed business, a relicensed one, or one not revisited — and repeat-fail counts understate any establishment that changed licenses. For the same reason we do not name establishments.
  • What this is not: a measure of how safe it is to eat anywhere, a count of closures, or a comparison of inspectors. A pass records what an inspector found on one visit under the code in force that day.

Computed by KCM Desk from records current to August 4, 2026; published August 4, 2026. If you spot an error, corrections come first.

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